EPL AI Tip of the Day - North London Derby: Can Gunners overcome Spurs?

AI’s pick: Bet 56$ (or 5.6% of your bankroll) on Home (Arsenal, 2.28)


Additional BetBuilder ideas:


  • Over 2.5 Total Goals (1.7)
  • Son Heung-Min to Have 1 or More Shots On Target (1.53)
  • Bukayo Saka to score or assist (2.63)
  • Both team to score (1.58)

[Match Preview]


Preview source: https://betjoy.ai/matches/462

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[Match Analysis]


Yesterday we saw a rather controversial Manchester Derby; Today, the North London Derby will be held at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium (Tottenham home, Arsenal away).


Tottenham, now ranked in the 5th place(10W 3D 5L), was on a serious slump post World Cup. After winning against Crystal Palace four-neil, now they face the historical rival and current first place Arsenal. Newcastle, now ranked 4th, is cruising, making Tottenham hard to earn the last UCL ticket. The good news for Tottenham is their forward’s performance recovering. Kane has always been solid and he scored two goals. Son also climbed out of the downturn after scoring one. Antonio Conte is the manager who revived the 3-back system back into modern soccer. Before Conte, 3-back system was regarded as a underdog’s tactic; after Conte making a huge success with this tactics, many European teams and managers benchmarked it. Now he’s using 3-4-3 where all players are in charge of defense. During counter-attacks, the ball is quickly connected to Harry Kane in the center, and other strikers and wing-backs penetrate into the opponent’s area. If the ball transfer isn’t smooth, Ben Davis and Romero will go up high, leaving Dier behind alone. To sum up in one sentence, if the opponent center-line is thin, Tottehnam tries to break the center line, and if the opponent’s flank is open, the Tottenham’s wing-back penetrates through the flank. Tottenham’s injury list is quite dense, making today’s derby even tougher. Lucas Moura will not be able to play this game for sure. Richarlison, Bentancur almost will not be able for today for sure. Conte also noted that Kulusevski will be almost OK for today’s match, and Bissouma is ready for today’s match.


Mikel Arteta’s Arsenal, now in the 1st place (14W-2D-1L), looks almost invincible. Arteta’s tactics are working with new players who joined Arsenal this season. Gabriel Jesus became a real savior for Gunners; Saliba came back from a long loan and become a key defender; Fabio Vieira and Zinchenko have been excellent too. With Man City’s loss last night, it’s a great moment for Arsenal to solidify their 1st place. Yesterday I talked about Guardiola’s tactic, and Arteta’s aren’t too different — Arteta started his career at Man City and learned a lot from Guardiola. For Arteta, the vital point is building up from the rear, maintaining high ball share, and making positional plays happen. But another highlight of Arteta’s tactic is the rapid counter-attack, which also used to be the Core of Wenger Ball. This team’s injury list is quite simple. Two Forwards, Gabriel Jesus and Reiss Nelson will not be capable for this match. Bukayo Saka was also injured too, but Mikel confirmed that Saka will be okay.


North London Derby has seldom disappointed EPL fans. In the previous 5 matches, Tottenham won all of their matches at home and Arsenal won all of their matches at home. Well, this match is being played in Tottenham Hotspur stadium; perhaps it’s about time the jinx gets broken. AI also suggests Arsenal has a slight advantage on Tottenham. (AI prediction: Tottenham 28% vs Arsenal 47%)


For BetBuilder picks, first I’d go with Over 2.5 total goals (1.7), because before this match it was over 2.5 goals for 4 matches in a row. Son finally scored and I wanna bet for him to have 1 or more shots on target (1.53). Also, expecting Bukayo Saka to score or assist (1.4) looks reasonable too. Without Jesus, Arsenal’s king would be Saka for sure. Also, I expect that both team will score.


AI Prediction: Tottenham 28% vs Arsenal 47%


AI verdict: Bet 56$ (or 5.6% of bankroll) on Arsenal Win for 2.28 odds (🔥🔥- Moderately recommended)


Source: betjoy.ai


Tips for this match: https://betjoy.ai/matches/462/tips
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[Other Games]


AI prediction & tips: Chelsea (56%) vs Crystal Palace (19%)


Source: https://betjoy.ai/matches/456


AI prediction & tips: Newcastle (63%) vs Fulham (16%)


Source: https://betjoy.ai/matches/457
 
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