Finding fixed matches with arbitrage

gamdom

Newbie
I had witnessed this situation specially in events where a very high arb percentage occurs. Sometimes books remove the specific market or the whole event completely. Let me tell you a game I witnessed this situation. It was O. Volos - Panionios Volou game, 30 October 2019, Greece Cup. Odds for Away -1 handicap decreased dramatically. I left all the profit on softbook side (zero profit if sharp side wins) and decided to watch the event. The game was very interesting! The half time ended 0-0 but Away Win price was much more lower then the odds in kickoff!

These teams were not playing football, they were playing a theatre play. Not surprisingly, away team scored 3 goals in second half. I thought to myself, I could even take more risk for this bet..

Other situations I remember; specially it occurs often in Venezuella and Brazil Serie B. Specially, If you see a HALF TIME arb, it means game may be fixed 1/2 HT/FT. That's why Half Time odds are dropping. It may be a good bet to place few bucks on 1/2 HT/FT bet in this case, the odds are great.

For today, not a very very high arb but most books closed the market; Levadiaos-Kalamaria (Kalamaria has a bad reputation about fixed matches!) can be a interesting game today. I picked Both Teams to score in softbook side. Will both teams score? We'll see about it. Edit: Higher arb appeared for Under3½ and Under4½ today. Keep in mind that the later arb is always more efficient.

Keep in mind. If you arbed a very high percentage, there's a chance that game can be fixed. Not always but sometimes it happens.

I wish everyone a profitable sunday! Let's have a good one!
 

chumbacasino

Jr. Member
Panionios Neas Smyrnis not Volou

i was also into this game....different market u/o 2.5 huge value

yesterday there was a better one

Ionikos (6-5)-Panionios (5-6)

halftime 42-41 and the handicap was at 16.5 points......108-74
soft-pinny arb at 7+%
i didnt even bother to cover the pinny side
 
Top