Pinnacle really efficient? I lost too much on bwin value bets this weekend

[betbanks]

It was terrible. I started value betting on bwin but it was horrible. do you think pinnacle is still efficient? What I could be doing wrong? I look arbs between bwin and pinnacle/betfair and bet value side on bwin. I bet all arbs on above %2 but results were very bad. any ideas? did it happened to you too?

 

[bet22]

Its variance. I only arb, but over extended time frames I see insane swings sometimes from Betfair to Pinnacle or Pinnacle to Betfair.

But after 5000 separate markets it should level out unless you are 1/100000 unlucky.

I would also say that I dont believe Pinnacle is always the line, trust Betfair for liquid markets, and for smaller markets who knows, certainly not pinnacle they can be wildly out.